Lockdown Day 64 – 29 May 2020 – Then What?

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Then what

Yesterday evening I lay in bed reading Seth Godin’s book “small is the new big.” This one got me thinking:

Assume that:

Hard drive space is free
Wifi like connections are everywhere
Connections speeds are 10 to 100 times faster
Everyone has a digital camera
Everyone carries a device that is sort of like a laptop, but cheap and tiny
The number of new products introduced every day is five times greater than now
Wal-Mart’s sales are three times as big
Any manufactured product that’s more than five years old in design sells at commodity pricing
The retirement age will be five years higher than it is now
Your current profession will either be gone or totally different

What then?

I found it on his blog – written in 2004 – 16 years ago!  If you do not know who Seth Godin is, he is a remarkable person and worth following.


The World in Sixteen Years

Start ticking the boxes to see what has happened in 16 years.

I can tick a number of those statements as achieved. Currently, I think, we can take it for a fact that most people will have to work longer to afford to retire. That is, if they have a job.

Very few professions can claim that they will not be affected by technology, and if you think it will not happen, you must rethink quickly. How many services will go “off-line” after lockdown?

If we stop complaining about lockdown and the government for a moment, if we stop arguing about whether Covid-19 is deadlier than the flu or not, and notice what has happened around us, you will notice many more people doing business internationally and making money during lockdown.

Many people have discovered during lockdown that they can offer services and products online. Many people have discovered they do not need to waste time and fuel to drive to a shop to buy what they need. These trends were slowly developing before the pandemic. Now the pandemic and our reaction to it has expedited the process. Many people will never go back to their jobs because the nature of the business changed, and they were not ready for it. Many people will only visit shops and malls because they cannot wait for a delivery. The world has changed around us in a few months!

In 1984 Prof Walter Claassen said to a few of us (on our way back from seminar about databases): “soon you will be illiterate if you are not computer literate.” It amazes me that there are young people who can say “I am not very computer literate.”

The World Tomorrow

Look around you, it is the computer literate and those that are willing to embrace new technology and learn that thrived during lockdown.

They will continue to do so going forward.

I would love to hear what you think about this. Please leave a comment below.

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